Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.021840 0.023795 0.025759 0.027876 0.030090 0.032334 0.034775
2025-07-27 0.017914 0.020945 0.024107 0.027635 0.031443 0.035414 0.039852
2025-08-03 0.016207 0.019905 0.023864 0.028381 0.033355 0.038631 0.044621
2025-08-10 0.014271 0.018375 0.022876 0.028117 0.033989 0.040312 0.047584
2025-08-17 0.012642 0.017029 0.021951 0.027788 0.034431 0.041678 0.050105
2025-08-24 0.011339 0.015946 0.021228 0.027597 0.034947 0.043055 0.052574
2025-08-31 0.010162 0.014922 0.020494 0.027323 0.035306 0.044204 0.054741
2025-09-07 0.009215 0.014107 0.019950 0.027216 0.035811 0.045480 0.057018
2025-09-14 0.008168 0.013095 0.019107 0.026705 0.035800 0.046130 0.058552
2025-09-21 0.007221 0.012144 0.018288 0.026173 0.035725 0.046672 0.059932
2025-09-28 0.006283 0.011140 0.017349 0.025449 0.035382 0.046871 0.060887
2025-10-05 0.006029 0.011045 0.017549 0.026117 0.036700 0.049005 0.064080
2025-10-12 0.005386 0.010413 0.017086 0.026015 0.037166 0.050236 0.066351
2025-10-19 0.004746 0.009748 0.016564 0.025835 0.037548 0.051393 0.068574
2025-10-26 0.004494 0.009630 0.016753 0.026548 0.039017 0.053837 0.072305
2025-11-02 0.003939 0.009004 0.016216 0.026294 0.039265 0.054800 0.074272
2025-11-09 0.003421 0.008385 0.015654 0.025978 0.039411 0.055623 0.076059
2025-11-16 0.002995 0.007872 0.015210 0.025794 0.039705 0.056610 0.078032
2025-11-23 0.002591 0.007352 0.014725 0.025530 0.039879 0.057437 0.079800
2025-11-30 0.002268 0.006938 0.014372 0.025428 0.040245 0.058490 0.081834
2025-12-07 0.001889 0.006370 0.013755 0.024936 0.040087 0.058880 0.083053
2025-12-14 0.001550 0.005828 0.013143 0.024425 0.039883 0.059197 0.084170
2025-12-21 0.001220 0.005241 0.012423 0.023729 0.039412 0.059163 0.084844